I'm still predicting VICTORY!
I have been thoroughly sickened by the polls throughout this election—I have not trusted a single one. From the obvious Republican bias of the Gallup poll to the news network's pretensions that we have a horserace, they've never been credible. And I think they will be discredited even further after this election. Jimmy Breslin has a great opinion piece stating why:
When published reports showed a million new voter registrations in Florida and about 800,000 in Ohio, I made the election a lock. They were not rushing out for George Bush. And these poll takers were ignoring them. Any part of a million votes in Florida, most of them of color, would sweep the state.
The reporters said the nation was divided. They were afraid to say anything that might upset this view. You've been had by the news industry. Not once, even after the first debate when Kerry scored a technical knockout, did they take a step and call it as it happened. "War of Words" was the closest they could come.
Finally, one thing kept clawing at you. Cell phones. Long I have wondered how many there were. Everybody I know, smart people, politicians, news directors, thought that there were, oh, 40 million or so. I call the cell phone institute in Washington last Sept. 12. They told me that there were 165 million cell phones in use in the United States, That is 165,000,000. One month later, I asked again. It was up to 170 million -- 170,000,000. Yes, a great number also had land lines. But of this 170 million cell phone users there were 40 million between the ages of 18 and 29, and these people usually have no other phones.
That had to be Kerry.
Not one cell phone in the United States had been reached by a political poll. These old-line poll takers don't know who cell phone users were or where they lived.
So you were getting CBS/New York Times polls proclaimed as most important and real. One hundred seventy million cell phones and you don't poll one of them. The polls they are pushing at you in the news magazines, on the networks, in the big papers, are such cheap, meaningless blatant lies, that some of these television stations should have their licenses challenged.
Just wait, though. After Kerry wins, the right-wingers are going to rant and rave that Bush lost because of "liberal media bias"…but clearly the precise opposite is true. The media have been propping up Bush all along by fudging the polls to make everything look competitive, and by treating crap like Swift Boat Veterans for "Truth" seriously.
So I am currently ignoring all of the exit polling and speculations from the talking heads at the networks. I'll tune in to the TV later tonight, when the polls are closing and there is some hard data behind the election news.
There's a lot at stake here: I promised the kids root beer floats tonight, when Kerry wins. You don't want to disappoint my sweet little kids, now do you? So get out and vote and work to throw that lousy little parasite out of office!


Via Atrios by way of Mydd whose servers are over loaded.
Kerry leading in election day exit polls in Florida by 3, PA by 20, Ohio by 4.
The exit polls from early voting favor Kerry. And traditionally, Democrats are said to vote later in the day than Republicans-although I have no idea why that would be or if it is correct.
Don't let up folks, this is very tentative and unverified. GOTV