Pharyngula

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Tuesday, November 02, 2004

I'm still predicting VICTORY!

I have been thoroughly sickened by the polls throughout this election—I have not trusted a single one. From the obvious Republican bias of the Gallup poll to the news network's pretensions that we have a horserace, they've never been credible. And I think they will be discredited even further after this election. Jimmy Breslin has a great opinion piece stating why:

When published reports showed a million new voter registrations in Florida and about 800,000 in Ohio, I made the election a lock. They were not rushing out for George Bush. And these poll takers were ignoring them. Any part of a million votes in Florida, most of them of color, would sweep the state.

The reporters said the nation was divided. They were afraid to say anything that might upset this view. You've been had by the news industry. Not once, even after the first debate when Kerry scored a technical knockout, did they take a step and call it as it happened. "War of Words" was the closest they could come.

Finally, one thing kept clawing at you. Cell phones. Long I have wondered how many there were. Everybody I know, smart people, politicians, news directors, thought that there were, oh, 40 million or so. I call the cell phone institute in Washington last Sept. 12. They told me that there were 165 million cell phones in use in the United States, That is 165,000,000. One month later, I asked again. It was up to 170 million -- 170,000,000. Yes, a great number also had land lines. But of this 170 million cell phone users there were 40 million between the ages of 18 and 29, and these people usually have no other phones.

That had to be Kerry.

Not one cell phone in the United States had been reached by a political poll. These old-line poll takers don't know who cell phone users were or where they lived.

So you were getting CBS/New York Times polls proclaimed as most important and real. One hundred seventy million cell phones and you don't poll one of them. The polls they are pushing at you in the news magazines, on the networks, in the big papers, are such cheap, meaningless blatant lies, that some of these television stations should have their licenses challenged.

Just wait, though. After Kerry wins, the right-wingers are going to rant and rave that Bush lost because of "liberal media bias"…but clearly the precise opposite is true. The media have been propping up Bush all along by fudging the polls to make everything look competitive, and by treating crap like Swift Boat Veterans for "Truth" seriously.

So I am currently ignoring all of the exit polling and speculations from the talking heads at the networks. I'll tune in to the TV later tonight, when the polls are closing and there is some hard data behind the election news.

There's a lot at stake here: I promised the kids root beer floats tonight, when Kerry wins. You don't want to disappoint my sweet little kids, now do you? So get out and vote and work to throw that lousy little parasite out of office!


Trackback url: http://pharyngula.org/index/trackback/1489/WBcYb52C/

Comments:
#8116: DarkSyde — 11/02  at  02:36 PM
Via Atrios by way of Mydd whose servers are over loaded.

Kerry leading in election day exit polls in Florida by 3, PA by 20, Ohio by 4.

The exit polls from early voting favor Kerry. And traditionally, Democrats are said to vote later in the day than Republicans-although I have no idea why that would be or if it is correct.

Don't let up folks, this is very tentative and unverified. GOTV



#8119: — 11/02  at  03:16 PM
"Hope, that comforter in danger!" I want very much to believe that those posting here are right, that the worst of this national disaster may soon be over. But I'm not, by nature, given much to hope. I guess I'll wait and watch for the time being--and hope, despite myself.



's avatar #8120: PZ Myers — 11/02  at  03:39 PM
No polls, I said. We don't care about no stinkin' polls. It's time to act, not to speculate. Simply assume triumph and move forward accordingly.

PZ Myers
Division of Science and Math
University of Minnesota, Morris



#8123: — 11/02  at  03:54 PM
Isn't that what got Bush into this mess to begin with?



#8124: DarkSyde — 11/02  at  03:54 PM
Oh Sorry...IGNORE THAT COMMENT!!!

And BTW, who's gonna re-imburse me for all the gas I'm burning up in the DarkSydeMobile? I mean the run I'm making now is only a five minute trip...but it's a lot of runs.



#8132: Andrew — 11/02  at  05:02 PM
Well said PZ, on all points. Some sanity! Some integrity! Isn't that what we were supposed to have had four years ago?



#8146: DarkSyde — 11/02  at  06:34 PM
Several states that were expected to be clear Bush wins are reported as too close to call. Encouraging signs.



#8166: — 11/02  at  11:18 PM
Sorry, boys -- Bush just won Florida by 300,000 or so votes. If Ohio comes home in the next hour or so, Kerry c'est finite.

Them are the breaks, boys.



#8169: — 11/03  at  12:28 AM
And I predict now that Kerry has lost you are going to claim the election was 'stolen'.



#8170: — 11/03  at  12:44 AM
It is in the hands of the lawyers now.



#8171: — 11/03  at  12:45 AM
Attention Bush Hater:

All liberals share a common flaw: they think they're smarter than the rest. Look at

yourself. You do, don't you? Politically, this translates to every prominent Republican

being "stupid." Naturally, those who subscribe to Republican issues are "stupid," too.

This election saw a "stupid" president win reelection because of "stupid" Republican voters.

Do you believe yourself to be smarter than the majority? If you do, you're awfully

arrogant. You might even be stupid. "Stupid" George Bush has devised a strategy to win the

Presidency -- twice. Al Gore and John Kerry were supposedly brilliant. Bush beat both of

them. He won the debates. He won the elections. And this time you can't try to sue your

way into the White House; Bush won too big.

The unravelling of the Democratic party is its mistaken certainty that Republicans are

"stupid." Please, please uphold that belief. Republicans will be disappointed if you

don't. Please continue mocking and underestimating your opponent. We pick up votes each

time you do.

This victory, along with increasing Republican margins in Congress, delcares a mandate for

GWB: tax cuts, the Patriot Act, the War on Terror, and of course, the war in Iraq. Your

opposition to this mandate puts you in the minority. Don't romanticize it by thinking

yourself exclusively informed and intelligent. You're not.

The truth is, you're stupid.

My parting advice to you is to move where those of your species (the stupid and the

arrogant) reside: France.

Sincerely, PontificateOrPerish
http://pontificateorperish.ebloggy.com

P.S. Hillary will lose in 2008, too.



#8172: — 11/03  at  12:49 AM
Wow.

At least we can type.



's avatar #8174: PZ Myers — 11/03  at  01:15 AM
There are a lot of votes left to count, so it's a little premature to crow, Rich. However, if Kerry has failed, it's a tragedy for our country, and I will feel sad for you as well as myself. And I will feel an extra twinge of sadness for you, because you are unaware of the unfortunate consequences; everyone in this nation will have lost on this election day.

PZ Myers
Division of Science and Math
University of Minnesota, Morris



#8175: — 11/03  at  01:39 AM
Rich, I'm impressed by your logic. Good going there, mate. Many big cookies for you! God bless.



#8176: — 11/03  at  03:30 AM
Um, since when does the majority in this country know diddly?

How many know how a boat made out of metal floats?

How many can name the planets in our system here?

How many people know algebra in this country?

How many even know who we fought in WWll?

I actually saw a spokes person from NASCAR saying, "I don't know much about the issues, but when the president shakes your hand, he looks you in the eye. You can trust a man that looks you in the eye when he shakes your hand, and that is why I am voting for G.W. Bush". Apparently this guy would vote for a used car salesman based on this logic. Such is the vast amount of ideology found in the US today.



#8177: DarkSyde — 11/03  at  05:45 AM
I'm glad that's over...or almost over. Can we get back to science soon ;) ?



's avatar #8178: PZ Myers — 11/03  at  06:00 AM
Yeah, soon enough. And until the priests and conservative ideologues silence me, or until the educational system goes bankrupt.

PZ Myers
Division of Science and Math
University of Minnesota, Morris



#8208: — 11/03  at  12:29 PM
It wasn't it priests and conservative idelogues that prevented you from getting tenure.



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