Pharyngula

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Sunday, March 20, 2005

Theory

Gary Farber (you all remember Gary, right? He had a bit of a dry patch a while back, for good reason, but he's been blogging up a storm lately, so go get reacquainted) sent me a link to this nicely done overview of the meaning of the word "theory" that was just published in the Washington Post:

If you want to know one reason why the debate over teaching evolution remains so contentious, consider the stickers some school boards have wanted to paste in high school biology textbooks. They label evolution a "theory, not a fact," suggesting that an alternative explanation is possible.

It's a clever strategy. Even people sympathetic to evolution often don't know how to respond to the assertion that evolution is "just a theory." And the opposite claim -- that evolution is a fact -- can generate skepticism among those who don't like to be told what to think.

But these stickers use the words "theory" and "fact" in a very misleading way. The biggest problem is that "theory" has two separate meanings. In common usage, "theory" means an idea or a hunch: "I have a theory about why she left him." No one really knows what the reasons were, but we can guess.

That's not what "theory" means within science. When scientists speak of the theory of gravitation, cell theory or evolutionary theory, they are talking about scientific concepts that have been so thoroughly tested that they are very unlikely to change. Theories are the results of decades or centuries of scientific effort. They draw on many interconnected observations and ideas. They are the end products of science, not stages on the way to the truth.

In science, a hunch or conjecture is called a hypothesis, not a theory. When Copernicus proposed in the early 16th century that the Earth revolves around the sun rather than vice versa, his idea was a hypothesis. But four centuries of observation and thinking have convinced us that heliocentrism is a theory, not just an intriguing idea. It is compatible with everything we know about the solar system and explains observations that cannot be explained in other ways.

Ideally, English would have a different word for these comprehensive organizing concepts in science. But for now, "theory" is doing double duty. So calling evolution a theory may seem to denigrate it in everyday terms, but in scientific terms that's high praise.

"Fact," on the other hand, is a word that makes many scientists uncomfortable. It implies that something is true beyond doubt. But the defining characteristic of a scientific statement is that its accuracy can be tested by comparing it to observations in the natural world; in other words, a scientific statement must be falsifiable. Accepting that something is true beyond doubt requires an act of faith. But that is a religious matter -- and science cannot aspire to the certainty of religion.

Many scientists are as loose with these terms as nonscientists are. They, too, speak blithely of theories when they mean hypotheses, despite the grief it causes evolutionary biologists. Partly, they are being careless. And maybe they lean toward the term because they know that theories are much more solidly established than are hypotheses. (Your idea may be a hypothesis, but mine is a theory.)

Evolution is not a hypothesis. It is a rich theory, built on hundreds of years of scientific research, that explains why the biological world is the way it is. It provides a mechanism for the continual change of biological organisms over time, beginning with the simplest replicating molecules. It accounts for the simultaneous diversity and unity of the living things we see around us.

The piece hammers on the topic even more, but it's an important concept, and one we have to take back from the creationists. One other important thing: never, ever refer to Intelligent Design creationism as a theory. It isn't one. I'd argue that it doesn't even meet the standards to warrant calling it a hypothesis.

More advice:

Despite the logical flaws in creationist arguments, scientists would be well served by finding more constructive ways to engage in the debate. When creationism is denied a hearing, those who are ambivalent have fewer opportunities to evaluate the evidence. Religion should not be taught in science classes, but suppressing discussion of creationism can create the mistaken impression that scientists have something to hide. And creationism is far from absent in many high school biology classes -- surveys reveal that many teachers already discuss it.

I agree that creationism must be engaged, but we should not do it on terms dictated by the creationists. When asked to "debate", don't bother. Instead, plan an independent and informative lecture or panel discussion on evolution, by competent biologists or other relevant scientists, to parallel or follow up the usual nonsense they will babble about. Rebut them on appropriate terms, don't dignify them by joining their circus.


Trackback url: http://pharyngula.org/index/trackback/2051/ewQSDYU2/

Comments:
#19246: — 03/20  at  04:40 PM
PZ advised...
Rebut them on appropriate terms, don't dignify them by joining their circus.


Amen!



#19247: Dr Pretorius — 03/20  at  04:46 PM
I must say I'm perpetually annoyed by the defenses of evolution that carefully note that while evolution is a theory and not a fact it's just because scientists mean something different by theory than non-scientists. I don't mind the idea behind it - it's good that people are out there explaining scientific concepts. The problem I have is that evolution is a fact. It's a fact (or more accurately it's a bunch of facts and a fact, since facts can work that way) that is explained by the Theory of Evolution (and that is why the theory of evolution is the theory of evolution and not something else).

Nothing but confusion can result in being careless with our terms....



#19248: Dan S. — 03/20  at  05:00 PM
Plus, we just do it again and again. It's like watching snow fall on a warm day - I don't see it sticking.

I mean, very well written, definitely one of the better versions I've seen, but . . . .

-Dan S.



#19253: — 03/20  at  05:12 PM
never, ever refer to Intelligent Design creationism as a theory.
That's very important advice. Idiots calling the renamed creationism a theory, and evolution a theory, is a strategy. Don't let them get away with this.



#19254: Reed A. Cartwright — 03/20  at  05:17 PM
As a theortician, I've been meaning to blog about the different meanings of "theory." By my count there are atleast three different usages of "theory:" 1) colloquial, 2) scientific singular, and 3) scientific mass. The differences between the last two, whose names I really haven't set upon yet, can be seen in the difference between the phrases "the theory of evolution" and "evolutionary theory." The former refers the explaination for evolution, whereas the latter refers to the body of mathmematical/statistical/computational research in evolutionary biology.



#19255: — 03/20  at  05:37 PM
Dr Pretorius: Can you define 'fact' for me? I think facts stem from observation, from which one generalizes theory. This would place evolution outside the scope of facts, for no one lives long enough to observe that process
(though maybe a reincarnating creationist could make some useful observations smile).



#19258: — 03/20  at  05:53 PM
So why don't we just adopt the old term "law" for evolutionary theory. I know Charles, Boyle, Ohm, Fourier, Fick et al. used the term for phenomenological relationships, but evolutionary theory is more phenomenal and logical. Richard Dawkins in particular would be pleased to have one called Darwin's Law of Natural Selection and another Darwin's Law of Sexual Selection (along with Kimura's Law of Neutral Drift etc., there are so many conbributors to evolutionary theory that deserve their own laws). The fact that these laws are constantly modified with new data is in line with Einstein modifying Newton's Law of Gravitation, even though we use Newton's Law for anything important like designing airplanes.

Terminology does change in science. I still hold that the only singular "Data" is the android in Startrek, Next Generation, but it seems like I am now the only one. So if terminology is preventing us from communicating with the public, then we need to face the problem.



's avatar #19259: Ben — 03/20  at  06:18 PM
So why don't we just adopt the old term "law" for evolutionary theory.

Because evolution is a theory, not a law. Laws are universally applicable within certain scientific frameworks like electromagnetism, thermodynamics, Newtonian dymanics, etc. Biology isn't that easy to tame.

"The great trouble is that the preachers get the children from six to seven years of age and then it is almost impossible to do anything with them." --Thomas Edison.



#19260: Buridan — 03/20  at  06:23 PM
These sorts of cultural skirmishes are always predicated on who commands the language in the public domain. So far, the ID/creationist crowd has been successful in defining the terms on this issue. I think we’d do much better strategically if we started thinking about this in cultural rather than scientific terms. The ID/creationist folks continually keep us off balance by characterizing “the controversy” as scientific while at the same time utilizing cultural themes and rhetoric as their primary weapons. This is not a scientific issue, as we all know, and it should not be treated as such.



#19261: Dr Pretorius — 03/20  at  06:31 PM
Dr Pretorius: Can you define 'fact' for me? I think facts stem from observation, from which one generalizes theory. This would place evolution outside the scope of facts, for no one lives long enough to observe that process...


Well, first of as far as I know it has been observed, repeatedly. Secondly, I'm not at all sure what you mean by "facts stem from observation" - what are you observing if not, well, facts?

I understand that we might say "I come to know this fact on the basis of such and such observations", but it's important to keep in mind that that's just shorthand for saything something like "I come to know this fact on the basis of the following facts which I have observed to be true".



#19264: Orac — 03/20  at  07:14 PM
I've hammered away at this very misuse of the word "theory" again and again. We need to keep hammering at it. In fact, every scientist who has a blog should link to the article. I plan on doing it now.

--
Orac “A statement of fact cannot be insolent.”
http://oracknows.blogspot.com



#19265: — 03/20  at  07:17 PM
"I come to know this fact on the basis of the following facts which I have observed to be true"
I would replace 'this fact' in your sentence with 'this theory'. Examples of fact would be: 'My cat gave birth to kittens yesterday', or 'Last week, three mean-looking orcs used my copy of the origin of species as toilet paper'. That would lead, after repeated observations, to the theory that all kittens are born from cats, and that orcs don't like evolutionary theory.
what are you observing if not, well, facts?
Do you mean that all observations are facts? The senses are easily tricked into observing things that are not there (as in the Necker cube, or others visual illusions). But maybe visual illusions are a seperate class of fact? Also, observations mediated by technology pose a problem of their own: it is possible to visualize atoms as if they were some sort of touchable items, light and shade and all, but from theory we know that these properties don't hold on a quantum scale.



#19266: Dr Pretorius — 03/20  at  07:29 PM
I would replace 'this fact' in your sentence with 'this theory'.


You're welcome to do so, but that would be an entirely different sort of thing. We do also come to know theories in the same way, certainly, and that is the sort of thing scientists do. However, "My car is not where I parked it" (which I could come to know by means of observing an empty space(and hence coming to know the following fact:"There is an empty space in front of me.") is something I'd be hesitant to call a theory. Theories explain facts, but that doesn't mean anything we come to know via inferring from facts is a theory.
Do you mean that all observations are facts?

Nope. You can't infer "Everything I observe is a fact" from "I observe facts". At the most you could infer that I observe putative facts, which may or may not be actual facts. (Given a suitable definition of fact that excludes false ones - one could just as easily claim that in cases where we go wrong we're observing false facts, I suppose, but that would strike me as suggesting a rather more complicated story than is necessary.)



#19267: — 03/20  at  07:30 PM
Ben,
that is just an ad-hoc rationalization on what 17th, 18th and some 19th century scientists did. They found phenomena and called them laws, simply because they were looking for natural laws. These scientists, as brilliant as they were (and far more intelligent than me), had a certain paradigm of science. Almost all of these "laws" have been superceeded by "theories" because they are not universally applicable. However, given the reverence we hold for "laws," we may be able to use this term to convey more strongly the strength of evolutionary theory.



Trackback: Theory vs. theory Tracked on: The Liferaft of Love (72.9.234.70) at 2005 03 20 20:36:56
Myers suggests not even debating creationists, which seems like a reasonable suggestion since the two aren't even concepts from the same discipline. But, I wonder...



#19269: — 03/20  at  08:52 PM
That seems me to be a useful distinction: the process of generalization from multiple observations that leads to theory (as in my example), and the causal reasoning that leads you to from the observation that there is an empty space in front of you to the conclusion that your car is not where you parked it. I still think that this places evolution in the realm of theory, not fact.

I'd still like a definition of 'fact', since we now have at least putative and actual facts, and maybe false facts, something unnecessary if we'd stick to 'observation' instead of 'fact'.

BTW It's getting late in the Netherlands but if you'd like, I'll be glad to continue this discussion tomorrow.

Best regards, Ewout



's avatar #19270: Ben — 03/20  at  09:53 PM
that is just an ad-hoc rationalization on what 17th, 18th and some 19th century scientists did.

No, it's a dissociation of the universally accepted differences between the definitions of "scientific theory" and "scientific law". Laws are universally applicable within the framework which they are able to defined because the conditions can also be defined. Pythagoras was able to derive universal laws according to the defined properties of Euclidian geometry. Charles, Avogadro, Fick, Boyle, etc, were all able to derive universal laws according to the defined properties of ideal gases. Newton was able to derive a universal gravitation law according to the defined properties of Newtonian dynamics (and which is still applicable within the larger framework of general relativity). Maxwell created electromagnetic theory, and so his laws are universally applicable within that framework. Ohm's law applies universally within cicuit theory. The list goes on.

"The great trouble is that the preachers get the children from six to seven years of age and then it is almost impossible to do anything with them." --Thomas Edison.



's avatar #19271: Ben — 03/20  at  09:58 PM
And if anyone was unable to automatically assume that the word is supposed to be "circuit", you have no business being here.

"The great trouble is that the preachers get the children from six to seven years of age and then it is almost impossible to do anything with them." --Thomas Edison.



#19273: Dan S. — 03/20  at  10:47 PM
"I think we’d do much better strategically if we started thinking about this in cultural rather than scientific terms. "

Hear, hear! If we only argue this scientifically I fear we will do an honorable and enlightened job of getting ourselves creamed.

Also sociological & political terms .. .



's avatar #19275: Ben — 03/20  at  11:06 PM
I'd argue that it doesn't even meet the standards to warrant calling it a hypothesis.

That's a good point, actually. I've been calling it an hypothesis all along, but now that I think about it, it certainly ain't falsifiable.

How about... the fable of Intelligent Design?

"The great trouble is that the preachers get the children from six to seven years of age and then it is almost impossible to do anything with them." --Thomas Edison.



#19277: — 03/20  at  11:28 PM
ID is used most often as an objection to evolution, so why not call it that?

"The Intelligent Design Objection."

It shifts the debate back to your framework.



#19279: — 03/20  at  11:37 PM
"The Doctrine of Intelligent Design" would be better. "Doctrine" is more fitting and doesn't have the mocking tone of "fable", which would just be outright rejected. It expresses the unfalsifiability of ID and carries the connotation of religious origins. Also it sounds more dignified and thus would lull casual proponents of ID into accepting its usage. Plus, the slogan "ID is just a doctrine" would look great on stickers pasted into the covers of Of Pandas & People.

Of course, I prefer "the doctrine of Dembskiism"... but, little steps.



's avatar #19281: Ben — 03/20  at  11:50 PM
"Objection" lends it a ring of credibility. They might actually approve of it. I agree that "fable" has connotations. I may have been subconsciously drawn to it by the notion of talking animals.

The allegory of Intelligent Design? Posited by a dunce of Creationists?

"The great trouble is that the preachers get the children from six to seven years of age and then it is almost impossible to do anything with them." --Thomas Edison.



#19282: — 03/21  at  12:18 AM
Doctrine is good insofar as it suggests that creationism is ideological, as in the doctrine of Marxism.

As for laws, Einstein's Theory of Relativity is universally applicable in its own framework, or indeed in any macroscopic non-singular framework.



's avatar #19285: Ben — 03/21  at  01:12 AM
Yeah, and relativity overarches many laws, including gravitation, light-speed constancy, Newtonian motion, etc. The theories explain the behavior of phenomena. The laws are the behavior.

"The great trouble is that the preachers get the children from six to seven years of age and then it is almost impossible to do anything with them." --Thomas Edison.



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